The Huddle Breakdown

The Huddle Breakdown

Celtic by Numbers

Hogh Are You?

The big Danish striker desperately needs a goal. Does underlying performance lead us to be encouraged?

Alan Morrison
Nov 15, 2026
∙ Paid

The sense of relief when Kasper Hogh swept Benjamin Nygren’s pass into the Kilmarnock net was palpable both on the pitch amongst his colleagues and in the stands amongst the faithful fans.

It felt like a personal cruelty when referee and VAR found an illegal challenge by Mika Baur on the halfway line a week previously, thus disallowing the goal.

A reminder that variance is random and therefore not distributed evenly. Certainly, the Danish striker will wonder what he has done to deserve the Variance Monster trashing his footballing life.

Three goals in 18 appearances sound a poor return for a Celtic striker. As always, more context is needed. He has completed at least 90 minutes only three times, and 1136 minutes overall. There was a three-match injury hiatus as well. Still, a return of 0.24 goals per 90m is well below what is expected.

The most effective benchmarking for Celtic strikers is generally other Celtic strikers.

Data presented here is for all competitions.

How does he measure up, so far?

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to The Huddle Breakdown to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2026 The Huddle Breakdown LLC · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for writing, podcasting, and media founders.