We’ve covered the early season status of the reimagined league tables taking into account xG, projected forward to the final positions, and laid out the impact of finishing and keeper play variance.
Now we move to the voodoo that football do. Or something.
Here we carve out the impact of those big moments in football that leaves a coach with grey hairs. The penalties, the own goals, the red cards. The stuff that gets dumped on your team when you least expect it. And it matters, very materially so.
Let’s see how.